[The Japanese government imposes additional sanctions on Russia, freezing the assets of groups involved in using crypto assets to evade sanctions] The Japanese government has decided to impose additional sanctions on Russia, prohibiting the provision of operational, maintenance, insurance, and financing services to 35 'shadow fleet' vessels. Additionally, 33 military-related groups and 9 individuals have been added to the asset freeze list, including groups involved in using crypto assets to evade financial sanctions. (Source: Nikkei Asia)

The presidential election in Brazil will be held on October 4th, and the election results will affect the direction of the country's cryptocurrency policy. If current President Lula is re elected, it is expected to strengthen regulatory and compliance requirements. The central bank has strengthened exchange supervision and pushed for a tax on stablecoin trading. If Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of the former president, wins the election, his cryptocurrency stance is unclear and there is no record of him mentioning cryptocurrency, but he has defended individuals associated with the Bitcoin Pharaoh Pyramid scheme. (Source: Bitcoin.com News)

Andrei Grachev, managing partner of DWF Labs, said that if Trump wins the election and distributes US $5000 to each adult, the scale is equivalent to 150% of the financial stimulus during the COVID-19 epidemic. Funds may flow into the cryptocurrency market and drive the bull market.

Andrei Grachev, co-founder of DWF Labs, said that if Trump wins and grants $5000 to each adult, the scale of the stimulus will reach 1.5 times of that during the COVID-19 epidemic. The public will invest funds in crypto assets, and the market may usher in a 2021 bull market. When the market cashes in, it needs to cash out to deal with subsequent crises.

CME Federal Reserve observation data shows that the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged until October is 77.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 22.1%; The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged until December is 14.8%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 67.3%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 17.9%. AI interpretation: The current market pricing of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path has significantly shifted, and expectations of interest rate hikes have regained dominance. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged has significantly narrowed, reflecting the extreme vigilance of the market towards the risk of inflation rebound. This pricing logic directly drives up US bond yields and continues to suppress risky assets. The necessity of further tightening policy by the Federal Reserve within the year has become a market consensus, and the high interest rate environment will be maintained for a longer period of time.