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According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 93.8%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 6.2%. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged until July is 88.8%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 10.8%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 0.3%.