According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 98.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 1.8%. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged until July is 85.8%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 12.6%, and the probability of lowering interest rates by 25 basis points is 1.6%.