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More >Today 2026-07-06
Bitcoin: Native temporarily fell below $63000, mainly due to the historical low of STRC causing panic among many investors, especially the market spreading a lot of "anxious" information, believing that Strategy may go bankrupt or not sell Bitcoin to pay interest due to debt issues. But in reality, this is not the case. Even if STRC continues to decline, it will not bankrupt the preferred stocks within the MSTR system in the short term, let alone rescue MSTR by selling Bitcoin. After all, MSTR's mNAV value is still greater than 1, currently at 1.14. And 1.14 means that ATMs can still be financed, as long as the market value of MSTR still has a premium relative to the net assets of Bitcoin in hand, then financing through ordinary stock ATMs is still logically more reasonable than selling Bitcoin. Because selling Bitcoin directly reduces underlying assets, it is equivalent to weakening the core narrative and asset foundation of MSTR. But although ATM financing dilutes common shareholders, it can continue to maintain US dollar reserves, pay preferred stock dividends and debt interest, and even continue to buy Bitcoin when conditions permit. Of course, this does not mean that MSTR is completely risk-free. STRC fell below $85, indicating that the market's demand for returns on such preferred stocks is increasing, and also indicating that investors' confidence in MSTR's capital structure is declining. The lower the price of preferred stock, the more difficult it will be to continue issuing preferred stock in the future, and the higher the financing cost. If BTC continues to decline, MSTR common stocks continue to decline, and mNAV continues to decrease, then the efficiency of ATM will also deteriorate. But at this stage, it is still overly anxious to say that MSTR will go bankrupt due to the decline of STRC, or will soon sell Bitcoin to pay interest. At least in terms of wooden products, MSTR's financing ability is still not a problem.
