The market expects the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this month to rise to 50%

The market expects the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this month to rise to 50%. AI interpretation: The sharp fluctuations in market expectations of interest rate hikes reflect extreme sensitivity to the Federal Reserve's policy path. This probability level directly increases short-term financing costs and significantly suppresses risk assets. Investors are reassessing the end of the tightening cycle, and market liquidity is facing tightening pressure. This expected shift has forced traders to quickly adjust their positions in response to the reality that monetary policy will remain high for a longer period of time.