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International oil prices are approaching the $100/barrel mark, and US President Trump's policy choices are limited in the context of the escalating conflict in Iran. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) of the United States has dropped to approximately 311 million barrels, the lowest level since 1983. If both the Strait of Mandeb and the Strait of Hormuz are affected, oil prices may rise to around $124 per barrel. US President Trump faces the choice of escalating military action or seeking a solution through negotiations, as high oil prices increase political pressure on the Trump administration.