Goldman Sachs: Most voting members of the Federal Reserve are unlikely to push for a rate hike this week

The Federal Reserve will hold a meeting this Wednesday, and the market predicts that the probability of interest rate hikes is about one-third. Goldman Sachs analysts pointed out that investors believe there is uncertainty in the outcome of the July meeting due to internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve, unclear stance of Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh, and escalating tensions in Iran. After the softening of inflation data in June, it seems unlikely that most of the voting committee members will push for a rate hike this week, and there may be at least one committee member in the meeting who disagrees with the rate hike. AI interpretation: The divergence within the Federal Reserve over the path of interest rate hikes has exacerbated uncertainty in policy expectations. The decline in inflation data has weakened the need for aggressive tightening in the short term. Most decision-makers tend to maintain the status quo to observe economic feedback. This cautious attitude directly suppressed the market's bet on this week's interest rate hike. Policy makers are currently in a critical window period of balancing inflation control and economic growth pressures.