According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 63.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 36.5%; The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until October is 47.3%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 43.4%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 9.3%.

[BTC spot main traded 6 large orders with a total amount of 14.93 million US dollars!] Intense fund activity in a short time hints at unusual market sentiment; deeper observation may reveal intent.

39 state banking associations in the United States have established the BankChain Alliance, which plans to build a blockchain network jointly owned and governed by banks for community and regional banks, with the goal of going online by 2027. The network is planned to support tokenized deposits, stablecoins, programmable payments, and automatic settlements, aiming to help small and medium-sized banks access blockchain financial infrastructure while complying with existing regulatory standards. BankChain has not yet announced its technology provider, underlying blockchain, network architecture, governance model, and regulatory framework, nor has it clarified whether it is based on existing public chains such as XRP, Ethereum, or Solana. The network is expected to cover thousands of US financial institutions.

[U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Restarts Rulemaking for Crypto Asset Custody] According to CoinDesk, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has reactivated the rulemaking process for crypto asset custody, aiming to establish a regulatory framework for broker-dealers managing clients' digital assets. The new draft strengthens requirements for custodians' operational security, cybersecurity, and fund reserves.

Zoom's stake in Anthropic has increased in value to $3.13 billion, bringing in a book return of $1.61 billion in the three months ending in July. Zoom has also invested an additional $301 million in Anthropic in the six months ending in July.