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密集筹码分布显现特殊节奏,关键区域博弈正在展开……
According to JinShi Data on August 29th, economists from Deutsche Bank predict that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in September and December. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh emphasized in his Jackson Hole speech the need to bring inflation back to the 2% target and send hawkish signals. According to CME data, the probability of a cumulative interest rate hike of 50 basis points or more by December has risen to 51%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate hike of 25 basis points is 38%, and the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 11%. After Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh's speech, the market's bets on a September rate hike have intensified. AI interpretation: This prediction directly targets the path of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, clearly indicating the continuation of tight monetary policy. Deutsche Bank's hawkish expectations are highly consistent with the policy stance of Federal Reserve officials, aimed at forcefully suppressing inflation through interest rate hikes. The market pricing has rapidly tilted towards interest rate hikes, reflecting investors' deep confirmation of the sustainability of the high interest rate environment. This move completely shattered the market's illusion of interest rate cuts within the year, further consolidating the Federal Reserve's policy tone of maintaining high interest rates to combat inflation.
Polish Prime Minister Tusk stated that he will request the Speaker of the Lower House of the Polish Parliament to organize a re vote on the Cryptocurrency Market Act. The bill was vetoed for the third time by President Naflotsky on June 11th. Tusk pointed out that the bankruptcy of Zondacrypto has evolved into one of the largest corruption cases in the cryptocurrency field in Poland, with affected customers losing up to $94 million. He accused the relevant ruling party of accepting cash and other benefits. The consecutive vetoes by the President have prevented Poland from implementing the relevant provisions of the Crypto Asset Market Regulation Act (MiCA), and domestic cryptocurrency exchanges are still unable to complete registration. Przemys ł aw Kral, former head of Zondacrypto, has criticized the bill for causing damage to the country's cryptocurrency industry. (Bitcoin.com News)
This latest U.S. appeals court ruling sets up a rift between federal courts on event contracts, suggesting the U.S. Supreme Court may need to settle the matter.
[New York Federal Court Rules States Have the Right to Ban Prediction Markets, Rejects Kalshi's Defense] According to CoinDesk, the New York Federal Court has ruled that states have the right to prohibit prediction market operations based on local insurance regulations and anti-gambling laws, rejecting Kalshi's defense regarding federal regulatory preemption.
Binance HYPE/USDT's perpetual trading volume surged fivefold within 10 minutes, with a turnover of 1.134 billion US dollars in the past 24 hours, a decrease of 5.47% A surge in trading volume generally indicates an increase in market trading activity or large-scale fund buying and selling operations, which may be caused by certain important market changes or news announcements. According to AiCoin data, the comprehensive ranking of Binance contracts ranks first in the world