The probability of signing the CLARITY bill on Polymarket has dropped to 5%, with a 12% drop within 24 hours

The probability of the CLARITY bill being signed into law by 2026 on Polymarket has dropped to 5%, a decrease of 12% within 24 hours. The United States Senate held a procedural vote to close the debate on the CLARITY bill, which was rejected with 49 votes in favor and 50 votes against. All Democratic and independent lawmakers present voted against it, while four Republican lawmakers Susan Collins, Josh Hawley, Jerry Moran, and Thom Tillis voted against. Chris Coons did not vote, and a senator proposed a motion for reconsideration.