Predict.fun predicts an 88% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September

On the eve of the Federal Reserve's decision, a major crude oil investor increased its long position by $60 million, and five related accounts reserved exit plans for a $20 million position. This week, the new long position size was 6.6 times that of a short position. On Hyperliquid, WTI crude oil was reported at $99.113, and Brent crude oil was reported at $102.56. WTI and Brent jointly discovered 13 addresses with single commodity positions exceeding $1 million.

Your day-ahead look for Sept. 16, 2026

Payward plans to deploy an on chain perpetual futures market for US clients, with the first batch adopting the Hyperliquid HIP-3 architecture. The relevant contracts will be listed according to Bitnominal Exchange rules and cleared and settled by it. The plan is still awaiting regulatory approval, and the market will operate on the Hyperliquid blockchain, with NinjaTrader Clearing hosting customer accounts. Eligible US customers will need to open futures accounts through registered brokers under Payward for trading.

The activity on the Bitcoin chain is at one of the lowest levels on record, with only 3.8 million BTC transfers occurring in the past 180 days. (Source: K33 Research)

The UK has released the Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Clarity Act. （The Bitcoin Historian）