CME Federal Reserve observation data, expected interest rate adjustment for remaining FOMC meetings in 2026

According to CME Federal Reserve observation data, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged in October 2026 is 49.1%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 5.9%. The probability of the interest rate remaining unchanged in December 2026 is 13.3%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 49.6%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 37.1%.