[Jiang Zhuoer: Short-term predictions have a 50-50 success rate, position management is the key to profitability] Jiang Zhuoer stated that the accuracy of short-term predictions is only 50-50, and the key to profitability lies in position management, trading strategies, and coin selection. Taking the example of September 4 when he timed the BTC peak, he predicted the top 4 hours in advance and sold 100% of his position at $82,050 within 1 minute of the highest point. During the September 11 CPI market event, although he made the wrong directional bet, he achieved a 4.3% overall return through a hedging position structure consisting of 100% ETH spot and an equivalent 100% BTC short position. Jiang Zhuoer emphasized that we are currently in a bull market cycle, with the default state being fully allocated in ETH spot. Short positions are only used to hedge against pullbacks and protect spot gains. Currently, his USDT-based profit has reached 92%.