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According to data from CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged at 3.75% -4.00% at its October meeting is 45.8%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 54.2%; The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged at 3.75% -4.00% until December is 10.8%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 47.8%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 41.4%.