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Deep Tide TechFlow News, October 4th, crypto trader Ansem posted that frequently monitoring the market and judging price trends based on 15-minute candlestick charts can easily lead to overtrading. Investors should manage spot, perpetual contracts, and high-risk on-chain trading accounts separately and avoid trying to capture every local top and bottom, as this could negatively impact long-term investment returns. Instead of frequent trading, it is better to study historical bull markets and observe how long upward trends typically last. Ansem stated that altcoin uptrends usually occur faster, often outperforming the market for 4 to 6 months, after which new market leaders emerge, especially when market capitalization grows more than 10x. However, this cycle may have a few exceptions, as some altcoins' revenues could significantly increase with price growth, accompanied by improvements in fundamentals. He pointed out that in past cycles, altcoins typically peaked due to shifts in market attention and weakening upward momentum. But if, in this cycle, some projects experience substantial changes in fundamental data such as revenue, institutional funds may continue to buy actively, and investors will need to adjust their previous judgments based on new information. Ansem noted that in the last cycle, Bitcoin bottomed out in January 2023 and peaked in October 2025, with the uptrend lasting about 33 months. If the current cycle bottomed out in July, we are only in the fourth month. Ansem believes that in a longer bull market cycle, there will be multiple "mini bull markets" led by specific altcoins. Investors need to identify these phase-specific strong assets and continuously reinvest profits into high-performing targets, gradually turning short-term winners into long-term investments.