What is a high-certainty trading opportunity? Take $ETH as an example: After $ETH rose to 2807 and pulled back, we repeatedly emphasized that the drop starting from 2807 was either a daily-level correction or a weekly-level correction. The difference lies in the magnitude and duration of the adjustment, but the commonality is that there’s a wave of decline. Although we can’t determine the correction level in advance, as long as the direction is clear and the risk-reward ratio is reasonable, this short position is worth taking. That’s why we entered a $ETH short at 2707. This is what I understand as a high-certainty trading opportunity. In Sunday’s video, we reiterated that 2711-2758 is a key resistance zone. As long as it cannot be effectively broken, the correction is not over and could even develop into a weekly-level correction, which would at least drop to the green Gann angle 2/1, around 2479. As shown in Figure 1, after 2807, $ETH tested the resistance zone multiple times but failed to break through, so we decided to continue holding the short position. By the morning of October 9, when $ETH dropped to 2406 and then climbed back above the 2/1 line, we decisively took profit on all short positions and increased our holdings in spot $ETH and several crypto-related stocks. Why take profit on the short position at this level? It’s actually the same logic as entering the $ETH short at 2707: If the drop from 2807 to 2406 is just a daily-level correction, then the adjustment may already be over, and a new round of daily-level uptrend could begin. If the drop from 2807 is part of a weekly-level correction, then 2807-2406 is just the first phase of the entire adjustment, and from 2406, there will at least be a rebound against this wave of decline. Although the levels differ, after stabilizing at 2406, both scenarios point to the same short-term direction—upward. The only difference is whether it’s a rebound or the start of a new uptrend. So, taking profit on the short position and increasing spot holdings yesterday was, in my opinion, a reasonable move. Finding the commonalities between smaller and larger structures is key to capturing high-certainty trading opportunities. Experts see the essence, while amateurs see the surface. Those who have been following my posts for a long time should have a deep understanding of this. For real-time market analysis and trading strategies ➡️