Click on the link to join the meeting directly: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/6839100013 1、 Core price dynamics and key positions 1. Bitcoin (Big Cake) Current price: Approximately 76740, with a 24-hour fluctuation range of 76546-79485. Key support position: $76300 is a strong support that has been verified multiple times in recent times, while $77000 is a short-term long short watershed. If it falls below $76300, it may drop to $74500 (key technical support). Key resistance level: 78388 US dollars is the top priority for the day, and if it breaks through, it can further challenge 79500 US dollars (short-term strong resistance zone). The psychological threshold of $80000 requires a significant increase in volume to confirm the continuation of the trend. 2. Ethereum (Auntie) Current price: Approximately $2290, with a 24-hour fluctuation range of $2263-2401. Key support position: 2260 US dollars is the recent stop down point, and 2250 US dollars is a strong technical support (four hour lower bound). If it falls below $2250, it may retrace to $2193 (short-term downward target). Key resistance level: 2330 US dollars is the core resistance for the day, and after breaking through, it is expected to test 2400 US dollars (the previous high pressure zone). 2450 US dollars is a key mid-term resistance that requires sustained volume to effectively break through. 2、 Technical Analysis and Market Sentiment Analysis 1. Bitcoin technology signal Short term trend: The daily level Bollinger Bands closed, with prices fluctuating narrowly above $77000. The MACD red bar contracted but did not turn short, indicating a weakening of bullish momentum but not a reversal. Risk points: The Coinbase premium index turned negative (-0.04%), indicating a weakening of domestic demand in the United States and the market's dependence on overseas capital inflows. The cost line for short-term holders is $79200, and if it cannot stand firm, it may trigger selling pressure. 2. Ethereum technology signals Short term trend: The four hour RSI and KDJ have turned downwards at high levels, indicating a pullback pressure after short-term overbought; But the price remains stable at the median track of the Bollinger Bands ($2300), and overall it is still relatively high. Risk points: There is a significant divergence between long and short positions in the derivatives market, with a large number of long clearing points concentrated below $2217 (approximately $657 million). The demand for spot goods is weak, and this round of rebound is mainly driven by derivatives. If there is a lack of sustained buying, it may fall back. 3. Market sentiment and macro impact FOMC meeting dominates intraday volatility: With the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate meeting on April 28-29, market expectations remain unchanged, but Powell's wording may trigger volatility. Capital flow: The Bitcoin spot ETF had a net inflow of $210 million for 8 consecutive days, while the Ethereum ETF had a weekly net inflow of $187 million (the highest since 2026). The Fear Greed Index has risen to 47 (neutral), a significant improvement from 7 days ago (33), but emotional repair is still fragile. 3、 Suggestions for intraday operational strategies 1. Bitcoin (Big Cake) Long position strategy: If the price remains stable at $78388 and there is a high volume, you can take a light position to pursue long positions, with a target of $79500 and a stop loss set below $77800. Avoid chasing high before breaking through, try to layout multiple orders in batches around $77400. Short position strategy: If it rebounds to $79500, encounters resistance, and falls below $78000, it can be shorted to $77000. 2. Ethereum (Auntie) Long position strategy: The range of $2260-2280 is the ideal entry point for long orders, with a stop loss of $2245 and a target of $2330-2400. If it breaks through $2330 and stabilizes, it can be increased to $2400. Short position strategy: If the price falls below $2250 and closes below it within 4 hours, the short-term target is $2193. 3. Important Risk Warning FOMC meeting result: If the Federal Reserve releases hawkish signals (such as delaying interest rate cuts), it may trigger a market wide correction. Leverage control: The current market volatility is contracting (BBWP indicator is low), and it is easy to experience severe fluctuations after breaking through. It is recommended to control the position within 30%. Liquidity risk: The Ethereum derivatives market lacks depth, and large transactions may trigger instantaneous price drops. What will the market do next? Professor Pang Tong, who has ten years of theoretical and practical trading experience in the cryptocurrency industry, will provide a detailed breakdown for everyone. Welcome to the live broadcast room to check in! Join the Three Kingdoms College Exchange Group to receive more services: 1. Real time troubleshooting (online one-on-one question answering and sorting) 2. Professional technical analysis and theoretical learning 3. Construction and improvement of trading system 4. Live streaming courses every day, contract termination, real-time order making, to help you successfully land! Official QQ group: 579358784 Tencent Meeting ID: 6839100013 Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.