Polymarket predicts that the probability of WTI crude oil falling to $85 in 2026 will increase to 62%

Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's WTI crude oil falling to $85 in May 2026 has risen to 62%, with a 32% increase within 24 hours. According to the "Balance" news agency affiliated with the Iranian Ministry of Justice, a "preliminary informal document" outlining the framework of the memorandum of understanding between Iran and the United States has been disclosed, involving the Strait of Hormuz, regional military deployment, and future agreement arrangements. The document shows that the United States has promised to lift the "maritime blockade" on Iran and withdraw some military forces, while Iran gradually restores commercial vessel traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. The relevant agreement may be confirmed through a United Nations Security Council resolution within 60 days. Iran emphasizes that action will only be taken after completing "tangible and verifiable" verification.