Major banks and economists release May CPI forecast data for the United States

Major banks and economists expect the US May non quarterly adjusted CPI to be 0.042 year-on-year, with ABN AMRO, Berenberg, DBS Group, Scotiabank, and UniCredit predicting 0.041, JPMorgan、Morgan Stanley、Citigroup、Goldman Sachs、HSBC、Barclays、Danske、BNP Paribas The prediction is 0.043; The non seasonally adjusted core CPI year-on-year forecast is between 0.028 and 0.029, while Morgan Stanley, BofA, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, and Nomura predict 0.028, UBS、TD Securities、Wells Fargo、ABN AMRO、BNP Paribas、BMO、Barclays、HSBC、Jefferies、ING、Sumitomo Mitsui、Scotiabank、Societe Generale、Standard Chartered、Stifel、UniCredit The prediction is 0.029. AI interpretation: The market's forecast for the May CPI in the United States is highly concentrated, reflecting the consensus of institutions on inflation stickiness. The core CPI forecast range shows that the downward resistance to inflation remains significant, and there has not been the rapid decline expected by the market. This predictive pattern reinforces the necessity for the Federal Reserve to maintain a high interest rate policy and suppresses expectations of a short-term shift in monetary policy. The consistent expectations of major banks indicate that inflation control has entered a deep water zone, and the market has already digested the policy pressure brought by inflation resilience in advance.