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According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 98.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 1.5%; The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until July is 91.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 7.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 1.4%.