Ned Davis Research: There are two rare divergence signals in the US stock market, with a probability of about 67% of falling into a bear market in the next three months

According to Ned Davis Research, there have been two historically rare divergence signals in the US stock market recently: the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) continues to hit new highs while the "Tech Seven" lags behind, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite have diverged in their trends. According to historical statistics, the probability of a bear market in the next three months after similar differentiation is about 66.9%, higher than the historical average of 24.8%.