Latest Quick Report on Bitcoin Market: Bitcoin Weekend Market Prediction: 64K Deadlock to be Broken, CPI Becomes Key Variable! How to translate Brothers and sisters, have a nice weekend 。 BTC has been consolidating narrowly around $64000 over the weekend, with a stagnant and stagnant trend. The price has hit the resistance zone of 64K-64.7K for four consecutive times, but has been blocked back each time. The price volatility has narrowed, the volume has shrunk, and the short-term direction is unclear. The medium-term direction will only be revealed after waiting for CPI data. 1、 Current situation of the market: 64K deadlock, waiting quietly to break the deadlock BTC is currently at 63800-64200, and the daily chart has been bullish for four consecutive days, rebounding from the low of 61800 to around 64K. But the four bullish lines are becoming smaller and smaller, from 61800 to 63000 to 63800 to 64200: each step taken by the bulls is more difficult than the previous one. From a quantitative perspective, during the rebound process, the trading volume moderately increased but did not reach the level of "volume breakthrough". The current rebound is driven by emotional recovery rather than real buying support. 64180 is a strong gravitational potential of 58000-68000 Fibonacci 0.618, while 64700 is a recent high, forming a dual resistance zone. According to Polymarket data, the market believes that the probability of BTC closing at 64K over the weekend is only 32-50%, while the probability of 62K Yes is as high as 87-94%, indicating that the market consensus is "difficult to break down and difficult to attack upwards". 2、 Comparative analysis of long and short forces The bulls have three cards in their hands: Geopolitical easing: Trump claims Iran has actively sought negotiations, oil prices have fallen from high levels, and risk sentiment has been restored; Strong seasonality in July: historically, the average return in July was 8.18%, with 11 out of 15 months of July experiencing gains; The support of 58K-60K has been validated twice as effective, and short-term holder selling pressure is weakening. Three cards in the hands of bears: ⭐ Continuous outflow of ETF: net outflow for two consecutive days, with funds running away due to price increases, and prices deviating from the funding situation; ⭐ The surrender of LTH is still ongoing: Glassnode data shows that LTH's daily losses are about $280 million, the highest since December 2022; ⭐ 64K-65K is a cost intensive area for short-term holders, and the selling pressure of unsold stocks is increasing. Both sides are waiting for a variable to break the deadlock: the CPI data on July 14th. 3、 Trading strategy from weekend to next week Currently, we are holding empty positions and waiting for CPI to land first. There is a high probability of fluctuating within the range of 63.5K-64.5K over the weekend, and neither long nor short positions will heavily bet on the data. Long conditions: CPI lower than expected+increase volume to stabilize at 64.7K (≥ 1.5 times average volume) → light position chasing long, target at 65.7K, stop loss at 63.5K. Short selling conditions: CPI higher than expected+64.5K, with a long upper shadow line confirmed to be blocked → light position test short, target 62.5K, stop loss 65.2K; or fall below 62K to chase short, target 60-60.5K. 4、 The core judgment of the ending The fourth impact of 64K is not a breakthrough signal, but a consumption war. Bulls are testing the defensive line of bears, while bears are testing the patience of bulls. Both sides have retained sufficient strength. The direction will not be determined until the CPI data is released. Let CPI land first, let the volume K-line confirm its direction first, and then take action. Bitcoin BTC 3D Integrated Trading Analysis CPI Data