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Kaitou Macro said that under the influence of the tension in the Strait of Hormuz and the expectation of interest rate increase, the yield difference between 10-year and two-year US treasury bond bonds will narrow, and the yield curve may be inverted. Kaitou Macro predicts that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in the next year, while the current market expectation is 40 basis points.