Before the release of ADP data, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September was 33.8%

According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 33.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 66.2%; The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until October is 24.1%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 56.9%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 19.1%.