[U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Nonfarm employment to increase by 584,000 in 2025] Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that nonfarm employment will increase by 584,000 in 2025, with an average monthly increase of 49,000. This is lower than the 2 million increase in 2024, which saw an average monthly increase of 168,000.

[U.S. Unemployment Rate Drops, Traders Bet on Fed Pausing Rate Cuts] After the U.S. unemployment rate dropped, traders increased their bets on the Federal Reserve pausing rate cuts.

[October and November Nonfarm Payrolls in the U.S. Revised Down by 76,000] The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released data on January 9, showing that October nonfarm payrolls were revised from -105,000 to -173,000, and November nonfarm payrolls were revised from 64,000 to 56,000. After the revision, the total increase in employment for the two months decreased by 76,000 compared to the previous figures.

[U.S. December Unemployment Rate at 4.4%, Lower Than Expected] The U.S. December unemployment rate was 4.4%, lower than the expected 4.50%. The previous value was revised from 4.60% to 4.5%.

[Probability of the Fed Maintaining Rates Unchanged in January Reaches 88.4% Ahead of Non-Farm Payroll Data Release] According to CME 'FedWatch' data, ahead of the release of non-farm payroll data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January is 11.6%, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 88.4%. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 35.8%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 60.6%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 3.7%.