[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 77%] Jin10 Data reported on July 6 that, according to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 77%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 23%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by September is 41.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 47.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 10.5%.