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In July 2026, the daily level of Bitcoin confirmed its head shoulder top pattern, and the technical side released a strong bearish signal. According to historical data calculations, if the $62000 neck line is effectively breached, the short-term target level will be lowered to $55800 (a 10% drop), and extreme market conditions may test the key support of $50000 (a 19% drop).
Impact on the Cryptocurrency Market
Leveraged liquidation wave: If BTC falls below 60000, it will trigger a strong flattening of over 4 billion US dollars in contracts, and highly leveraged altcoins (such as SOL and ETH) may experience a daily drop of 20% or more
Capital flight: stablecoin market value may shrink by 15% in a single week, and the surge in BTC reserves on exchanges indicates selling pressure
Risk of US stock market linkage:
MicroStrategy's position floating loss of 25% will trigger collateral liquidation
Bitcoin ETF net daily outflow may exceed $500 million
Coinbase stock price may fall below the $180 support level
[Operation Strategy]
▶ Short position: open positions in batches of $64200-65000, stop loss 66500
▶ Long position: Pay attention to the weekly support of $50000 and lay out after stabilizing
⚠️ Focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on July 30th, market volatility may exceed 80%
[Practical thinking reference]
The combination of multiple bullish and bearish positions and the divergence of multiple cyclical trends have greatly increased the difficulty of short-term operations today. Intense two-way fluctuations can occur at any time, and heavy position trading is strictly prohibited. It is necessary to operate lightly and follow the trend, patiently waiting for effective breakthrough signals from pressure and support positions before considering entering the market.
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Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.
