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BTC rose over 26% in the week, surged near 79555, and fell back. The US Nasdaq fell 2% in the week and fell into volatility. The cryptocurrency market emerged as an independent market with net inflows from ETFs and short selling. But 75000 has gone from the breakthrough level to the retracement observation level, not blindly copying the bottom price.
·Positive news: US bond repurchase expansion+CLARITY bill expected September vote+BTC ETF net inflow of 1 billion this week
·Negative: Daily RSI 82 overbought, 4H RSI hits multi-year extreme; Mysterious Whale sold 7700 BTC in 3 days, with 17800 BTC transferred to Binance, setting a new high for February. Profit making orders have clear shipping signals
·Next week's two macro sieves: PCE data+Jackson Hole speech, it's a life and death trial before the 80000 mark
Operation plan:
·Steady low long: wait for retracement from 73000 to 73500, reduce volume and stabilize, stop loss at 71800, target at 75000 to 76500
·Radical right side: Daily physical closing above 76500 but unable to break through 75000, catching up with the bulls and looking at 79000-80000; If you break through 73000 but can't draw 74000, give up buying and look for 70000
·Risk control red line: 73000 lost and unconditionally reduced positions, 70000 broke levels and turned short; If the US stock market falls below the mid track on Monday, the cryptocurrency market will first kill the valuation, and many orders will not bear it
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Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.
