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In the live broadcast of Sanqian Community: Tonight, FOMC will determine the fate of long and short positions! How to attack? How to defend?

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Click on the link to enter the meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/dm/L1CrUCgvqNKE Tonight at 19:00, we will start broadcasting on time, providing in-depth insights into the Federal Reserve's FOMC interest rate decision in the early hours of the morning. Combining real-time market trends of Binance BTC and ETH, geopolitical oil prices, and ETF funds, we will implement a complete trading attack plan and risk control defense system under different policy scenarios. The current overall cryptocurrency market is oscillating in a high range, with both long and short funds collectively observing and waiting for the Federal Reserve to provide a clear direction. This round of interest rate meetings will directly determine whether the short-term market will break through the opening trend or enter a deep correction under pressure. As of the real-time quotation on Binance, BTC's current price is around 64400 yuan, with the intraday operating range locked at 63500-64500 yuan. Pressure is concentrated above 65500 yuan, and multiple attempts by bulls have failed to effectively stabilize; The 62800 below serves as the short-term core support, with strong retracement and support. The long short game has entered an extreme equilibrium state, and the volatility is continuously accumulating and waiting for news catalysis. The current price of ETH is around 1910, and the trend is mainly linked to BTC, with weak independence. The four hour level volume can continue to contract, and the oscillation box continues to narrow. The window for volatility explosion is approaching. Compared with the big pie, ETH has greater elasticity, and the probability of rapid rise and fall before and after the decision is higher. The current market trend has fallen into a sideways tug of war, essentially due to the continuous hedging of negative and positive logic, and the FOMC will break this balance. The logic of bearish suppression: The geopolitical conflict between the United States and Iran continues, international oil prices remain high and firm, inflation stickiness cannot quickly fall back, and market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy are increasingly divergent. The current market has a clear pricing differentiation between the two expectations of keeping interest rates unchanged and raising interest rates slightly. Once the Federal Reserve makes a hawkish statement, the time for interest rate cuts will be postponed again, and US bond yields will rise, putting pressure on the valuation of risk assets. BTC and ETH are likely to face concentrated selling pressure, and the high volatility pattern will be broken down. Long position support logic: BTC spot ETF maintains sustained net inflows, and institutional mid - to long-term low-level fundraising actions are clear, providing bottom support for the market. The panic sentiment in the secondary market has fallen, and retail investors have concentrated their selling pressure and cleared out. As long as the Federal Reserve releases a signal of easing and liquidity expectations rebound, funds will quickly enter the market to push mainstream currencies to break through the volatile box. This FOMC is divided into two key nodes: the resolution announcement and the chairman's press conference. In the short term, there is a high risk of rapid rise and fall, followed by a decline and then a rise in the market. Blindly chasing the rise and killing the fall can easily lead to losses. The market is not about betting on the outcome, but about developing contingency plans based on different scenarios. The focus of this live broadcast is to break down the three core contents and fully solve the two core problems of offense and defense 1、 Split the three major market scenarios: hawkish, neutral and stable, and dovish, corresponding to BTC and ETH precise entry attack points and profit taking targets one by one, and sort out the entry conditions for long and short positions under different results. 2、 Establish a complete set of defensive risk control rules: define a two-level stop loss range, clarify position allocation, explain how to reduce positions in batches before and after the decision, hedge and avoid risks, avoid large floating losses caused by intense news penetration, and solve the common problems of carrying orders and disorderly stop losses. 3、 Based on cross validation of the US Iran geopolitical situation, oil prices, and ETF funds, determine the continuity of the market after the Federal Reserve's landing, distinguish whether it is a short-term news pulse or a new round of unilateral trend initiation, and at the same time, sort out the differences in strength between mainstream and altcoins, and provide layout ideas for adapting to different currency types. There is no luck in the news landing, and the volatile market relies on contingency plans. At 10 pm tonight, we will fully break down the FOMC's multi-dimensional trading logic, without subjectively betting on long or short positions. We will use point positions and rules to deal with all fluctuations, and clearly explain when to take the initiative to attack and when to strictly defend. Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.

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